Finally and as expected, Parliament is to be dissolved, (not literally of course although that could be fun!), and the election date is May 6th.
You could hear the audible sighs of relief from all around the UK as the starting gun was officially sounded on what will no doubt be a close, fiercely fought and no doubt tetchy campaign. I still believe the 3 TV debates will be absolutely key to deciding who will form the next government.
Today’s inflation figures, rising dramatically to 2.9%, could well bring to an end the ‘rate complacency’ we have seen among borrowers over the past year or so.
Whilst there are suggestions that this spike in inflation has been expected and is merely temporary, it is unlikely to drop off sharply if recovery does continue to grow and will undoubtedly put pressure on the Bank of England to seriously consider finally raising interest rates.
This is a real shot across the bows for borrowers, many of whom are quietly banking on a low interest rate environment in the short term. But this is a risky game to play.
We all know of course that there was never going to be any changes this month in the Bank of England Base Rate, nor in the amount Quantitative Easing, but there are still some interesting forces at play.
There are still some who believe there should be a further cut next year with a further increase in Q.E., whilst others believe that inflationary pressures, especially in commodity prices amongst other things, may mean that we soon see inflation rising faster than expected, which in turn raises the spectre of increased rates quicker than expected! It remains to be seen which group will be shouting “house” first.
It was refreshing to see a few days ago that there is to be another enquiry into the mortgage industry and why lenders are not lending more – refreshing in a dry glass of hot sawdust type of way!
They are going to investigate in-particular, “the sharp rise in repossessions and the chronic shortage of affordable home loans for first-time buyers”.
Brilliant. Is that really the best that the Government can come up with? A cross-party committee of MP’s wagging fingers at bankers and telling everyone what they are doing wrong whilst they try to keep their latest expenses form under wraps!
There are many reasons why I love working in Broadgate right in the heart of the city, apart from being on the doorstep of the major banks and many of our clients. One of them is undoubtedly the arena in the middle which stages various events, such as yesterday lunchtime watching the Lions game on a big screen with my colleague, and general rugby legend, Rob Henderson, who played in these games not so long ago.

Rob Henderson