Finally and as expected, Parliament is to be dissolved, (not literally of course although that could be fun!), and the election date is May 6th.
You could hear the audible sighs of relief from all around the UK as the starting gun was officially sounded on what will no doubt be a close, fiercely fought and no doubt tetchy campaign. I still believe the 3 TV debates will be absolutely key to deciding who will form the next government.
The number of loans for house purchase in February is lower than expected although given the growing sense of foreboding surrounding the big, post-Election tax rises around the corner it is understandable that people are putting the big decisions in their lives on hold.
With the General Election looming these figures suggest that property purchases will continue to tail off until a new government is firmly in place and people know who, and what, they are dealing with.
While we may see a slight uplift due to stamp duty changes for first time buyers and people buying property above £1m wanting to move before the year is out, this is unlikely to occur until after the next Budget.
January has never been a particularly strong month for mortgage data and this year the drop has been exacerbated by the stamp duty holiday that ended in December and last month’s dire weather.
However, activity picked up towards the end of January and into February so we expect to see stronger figures from February on until they begin to tail off again in the second half of the year.
January’s figures shouldn’t dampen the spirits as the mortgage market has got off to a flyer compared to this time last year, with hundreds of new products hitting the market and enquiry levels rising dramatically.
With apologies to The Blow Monkeys for lifting the title of their debut album, (I love a music link), for some reason this phrase popped into my head when the latest quarterly GDP figures were released showing that we have just about limped out of recession.
The political soothsayers have been having a field day showing how we were the first into recession and the last out, and that the road ahead is going to be a frankly tortuous affair. Even Alistair Darling could not rule out the possibility of a dip back into the negative almost on the eve of the election.
There have been more than a few welcome signs in the mortgage market of late as competition between lenders seems to have made a welcome return, reflected in some rate cutting across many different products in the past few days.
Most lenders seem to have got in on the act with some competitive tracker products and fixes as well as more higher loan-to-value products making an appearance.
This is of course good news for consumers and mortgage brokers alike as more choice comes back into the market. The one thing to watch, however, is the continuance of not just some strict underwriting policy, which is hard to really argue against, but some more “unfair” policies if that is the right word.
Andrew Montlake, Communications Director at Coreco and ‘Mortgage Personality of the Year 2008’, gives his views — honest and no holds barred — on the latest developments within the mortgage and property markets.A fee of up to 1% of the mortgage amount may be charged depending on individual circumstances. A typical fee is £495.
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