Monty’s Mortgage Blog

Category Archives: Inflation

Inflation, Stagflation, Low Rate Nation…

As another Middle East country looks like it has undergone a regime change things in the UK seem to be quiet for once. Oil prices have fallen on the expectation that the end of the Libyan conflict could mean a return to oil production soon which should in time play through to inflationary figures.

Not that inflation is worrying the Bank of England as all 9 members of their committee that sets interest rates decided unanimously to keep rates on hold last month. This represents a small sea-change as at one stage at least 3 of the members were voting for an immediate rise, (although the main protagonist calling for rises has now left the committee of course).

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Rate Rises In Clear View, But Not Just Yet

After another month of “will they or won’t they” and “they should, they really shouldn’t” economic and political discussion, the Bank of England’s’ Monetary Policy Committee, (MPC) have just about held firm yet again and decided to keep Base Rate on hold.

After the almost unprecedented 4 way split revealed in last month’s meeting minutes, it really looks like the Governor Mervyn King has a fight on his hands to keep any sense of unity and these public splits do the Bank no particular favours.

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Prisoners Of Fortune

As the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee, (MPC) sat and argued their very different views around potential interest rate changes, many in the mortgage industry pondered secretly, some publically, that quite frankly an early rate rise will be good for business.

After all, nothing is better than panicking people into action than a short, sharp shock.

The truth is that it might not be quite that simple and could provide as many problems as it solves. For many consumers, a sudden half point rise could prove to be the tipping point, especially if it is followed by another one or two increases later on in the year as predicted.

Also posted in Bank Base Rate, Coreco, Independent Mortgage Advice, Large Mortgage Loans, Mortgage Brokers in London, Remortgage | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

As Inflation Surges, Why Fix Now?

Faced with the barrage of news headlines in almost every paper today about raging inflation leading to soaring interest rates, we thought it was prudent to bring a sense of calmness to the media storm.

The question we have been asked most lately is whether to fix or not and I have for a long time now stated that I believe more people should be seeking the sanctuary of fixed rates than actually have done.

Evening Standard Headline

Evening Standard at the centre of the media storm

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Stress-Testing Times

For those of you who think times are more than a little tough at the moment, the news that there are still major fears about the strength of the European Banking System, is not really what you will want to hear.

However, this week sees the release of a major report involving the “stress-testing” on a range of European Banks to determine their health and, perhaps more importantly, whether they are in a position to cope if anything goes seriously wrong again. These “detailed” tests have been undertaken on 91 banks, including names such as Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank in Germany, HSBC and Barclays in the UK, as well as Societe Generale and BNP Paribas in France.

Also posted in Coreco, Credit Crunch, Economic Recovery, Interest Rates, Mortgage Market, The Economy | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment